Comparison of Temperatures between scripts
WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Updated: 18-04-24 at 7:00 am |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
18-04-24 |
12 |
|
24 |
7 |
|
10 |
11 |
|
20 |
5 |
|
10 |
10 |
|
20 |
4 |
|
9 |
11 |
|
22 |
3 |
|
11 |
17-04-24 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
3 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
|
20 |
7 |
|
10 |
11 |
|
20 |
6 |
|
9 |
11 |
|
22 |
5 |
|
11 |
16-04-24 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
5 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
3 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
|
20 |
6 |
|
9 |
11 |
|
22 |
6 |
|
11 |
15-04-24 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
6 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
5 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
4 |
13.9 |
9 |
12 |
|
22 |
6 |
|
11 |
14-04-24 |
15 |
21.8 |
24 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
6 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
5 |
13.9 |
9 |
10 |
21.8 |
22 |
5 |
13.9 |
11 |
13-04-24 |
24 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
14 |
21.8 |
20 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
6 |
13.9 |
9 |
10 |
21.8 |
22 |
5 |
13.9 |
11 |
12-04-24 |
22 |
21.8 |
24 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
23 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
14 |
21.8 |
20 |
7 |
13.9 |
9 |
11 |
21.8 |
22 |
6 |
13.9 |
11 |
11-04-24 |
15 |
21.8 |
24 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
21 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
23 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
9 |
14 |
21.8 |
22 |
7 |
13.9 |
11 |
10-04-24 |
16 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
21 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
9 |
22 |
21.8 |
22 |
10 |
13.9 |
11 |
09-04-24 |
13 |
21.8 |
24 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
9 |
21 |
21.8 |
22 |
12 |
13.9 |
11 |
08-04-24 |
19 |
21.8 |
24 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
6 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
9 |
16 |
21.8 |
22 |
11 |
13.9 |
11 |
07-04-24 |
19 |
21.8 |
24 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
19 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
7 |
13.9 |
9 |
15 |
21.8 |
22 |
11 |
13.9 |
11 |
06-04-24 |
25 |
21.8 |
24 |
13 |
13.9 |
10 |
18 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
19 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
9 |
12 |
21.8 |
22 |
7 |
13.9 |
11 |
05-04-24 |
19 |
21.8 |
24 |
13 |
13.9 |
10 |
25 |
21.8 |
20 |
13 |
13.9 |
10 |
18 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
9 |
18 |
21.8 |
22 |
10 |
13.9 |
11 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
1 |
|
0 |
4 |
|
0 |
2 |
|
12 |
3 |
|
0 |
2 |
|
11 |
2 |
|
0 |
2 |
|
10 |
1 |
|
0 |
% Succ |
7.7 |
|
0.0 |
30.8 |
|
0.0 |
16.7 |
|
100.0 |
25.0 |
|
0.0 |
18.2 |
|
100.0 |
18.2 |
|
0.0 |
20.0 |
|
100.0 |
10.0 |
|
0.0 |
Ave Error |
5.9 |
|
2.2 |
4.7 |
|
3.9 |
6.5 |
|
1.8 |
5.2 |
|
3.9 |
6.7 |
|
1.8 |
5.3 |
|
4.9 |
6.9 |
|
0.2 |
5.5 |
|
2.9 |
Net Error |
-5.0 |
|
2.2 |
-4.7 |
|
-3.9 |
-5.8 |
|
-1.8 |
-5.2 |
|
-3.9 |
-6.4 |
|
-1.8 |
-5.3 |
|
-4.9 |
-6.9 |
|
0.2 |
-5.5 |
|
-2.9 |
Std Dev |
3.7 |
|
0.0 |
2.9 |
|
0.0 |
3.9 |
|
0.0 |
2.8 |
|
0.0 |
3.5 |
|
0.0 |
2.6 |
|
0.0 |
3.8 |
|
0.0 |
2.2 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
Updated: 17-04-24 at 7:00 am |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
17-04-24 |
2 |
|
24 |
12 |
|
10 |
7 |
|
20 |
11 |
|
10 |
5 |
|
20 |
11 |
|
9 |
4 |
|
22 |
11 |
|
11 |
16-04-24 |
5 |
21.8 |
24 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
3 |
|
20 |
12 |
|
10 |
7 |
|
20 |
11 |
|
9 |
6 |
|
22 |
12 |
|
11 |
15-04-24 |
6 |
21.8 |
24 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
5 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
4 |
|
20 |
12 |
|
9 |
5 |
|
22 |
11 |
|
11 |
14-04-24 |
7 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
6 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
5 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
9 |
4 |
|
22 |
11 |
|
11 |
13-04-24 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
6 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
9 |
5 |
21.8 |
22 |
10 |
13.9 |
11 |
12-04-24 |
12 |
21.8 |
24 |
24 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
9 |
6 |
21.8 |
22 |
10 |
13.9 |
11 |
11-04-24 |
12 |
21.8 |
24 |
21 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
24 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
14 |
13.9 |
9 |
7 |
21.8 |
22 |
12 |
13.9 |
11 |
10-04-24 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
21 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
22 |
13.9 |
9 |
10 |
21.8 |
22 |
14 |
13.9 |
11 |
09-04-24 |
6 |
21.8 |
24 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
15 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
20 |
13.9 |
9 |
12 |
21.8 |
22 |
21 |
13.9 |
11 |
08-04-24 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
6 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
9 |
11 |
21.8 |
22 |
20 |
13.9 |
11 |
07-04-24 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
19 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
6 |
21.8 |
20 |
15 |
13.9 |
9 |
10 |
21.8 |
22 |
16 |
13.9 |
11 |
06-04-24 |
13 |
21.8 |
24 |
19 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
19 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
13 |
13.9 |
9 |
6 |
21.8 |
22 |
15 |
13.9 |
11 |
05-04-24 |
13 |
21.8 |
24 |
25 |
13.9 |
10 |
14 |
21.8 |
20 |
19 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
19 |
13.9 |
9 |
10 |
21.8 |
22 |
13 |
13.9 |
11 |
04-04-24 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
18 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
25 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
18 |
13.9 |
9 |
11 |
21.8 |
22 |
18 |
13.9 |
11 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
0 |
|
0 |
2 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
12 |
3 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
11 |
3 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
10 |
4 |
|
0 |
% Succ |
|
|
0.0 |
15.4 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
25.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
27.3 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
40.0 |
|
0.0 |
Ave Error |
12.0 |
|
2.2 |
4.7 |
|
3.9 |
12.1 |
|
1.8 |
4.7 |
|
3.9 |
12.5 |
|
1.8 |
3.5 |
|
4.9 |
13.0 |
|
0.2 |
3.1 |
|
2.9 |
Net Error |
-12.0 |
|
2.2 |
2.6 |
|
-3.9 |
-12.1 |
|
-1.8 |
2.3 |
|
-3.9 |
-12.5 |
|
-1.8 |
1.4 |
|
-4.9 |
-13.0 |
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
|
-2.9 |
Std Dev |
2.7 |
|
0.0 |
3.1 |
|
0.0 |
2.5 |
|
0.0 |
2.7 |
|
0.0 |
2.4 |
|
0.0 |
2.1 |
|
0.0 |
2.1 |
|
0.0 |
1.9 |
|
0.0 |
|
|