Comparison of Temperatures between scripts
WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Updated: 11-05-24 at 7:00 am |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
11-05-24 |
24 |
|
24 |
13 |
|
10 |
26 |
|
20 |
15 |
|
10 |
22 |
|
20 |
15 |
|
9 |
19 |
|
22 |
12 |
|
11 |
10-05-24 |
22 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
24 |
|
20 |
12 |
|
10 |
25 |
|
20 |
15 |
|
9 |
22 |
|
22 |
15 |
|
11 |
09-05-24 |
19 |
21.8 |
24 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
21 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
24 |
|
20 |
13 |
|
9 |
25 |
|
22 |
15 |
|
11 |
08-05-24 |
15 |
21.8 |
24 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
19 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
22 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
9 |
23 |
|
22 |
13 |
|
11 |
07-05-24 |
20 |
21.8 |
24 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
20 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
9 |
22 |
21.8 |
22 |
12 |
13.9 |
11 |
06-05-24 |
17 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
18 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
8 |
13.9 |
9 |
20 |
21.8 |
22 |
9 |
13.9 |
11 |
05-05-24 |
18 |
21.8 |
24 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
17 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
9 |
17 |
21.8 |
22 |
8 |
13.9 |
11 |
04-05-24 |
16 |
21.8 |
24 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
18 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
17 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
9 |
17 |
21.8 |
22 |
9 |
13.9 |
11 |
03-05-24 |
14 |
21.8 |
24 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
9 |
16 |
21.8 |
22 |
9 |
13.9 |
11 |
02-05-24 |
22 |
21.8 |
24 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
17 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
9 |
17 |
21.8 |
22 |
10 |
13.9 |
11 |
01-05-24 |
23 |
21.8 |
24 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
23 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
9 |
17 |
21.8 |
22 |
10 |
13.9 |
11 |
30-04-24 |
21 |
21.8 |
24 |
13 |
13.9 |
10 |
24 |
21.8 |
20 |
13 |
13.9 |
10 |
21 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
9 |
15 |
21.8 |
22 |
9 |
13.9 |
11 |
29-04-24 |
19 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
22 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
23 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
9 |
17 |
21.8 |
22 |
11 |
13.9 |
11 |
28-04-24 |
15 |
21.8 |
24 |
6 |
13.9 |
10 |
19 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
21 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
9 |
22 |
21.8 |
22 |
13 |
13.9 |
11 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
5 |
|
0 |
2 |
|
0 |
3 |
|
12 |
2 |
|
0 |
5 |
|
11 |
4 |
|
0 |
3 |
|
10 |
2 |
|
0 |
% Succ |
38.5 |
|
0.0 |
15.4 |
|
0.0 |
25.0 |
|
100.0 |
16.7 |
|
0.0 |
45.5 |
|
100.0 |
36.4 |
|
0.0 |
30.0 |
|
100.0 |
20.0 |
|
0.0 |
Ave Error |
3.5 |
|
2.2 |
4.3 |
|
3.9 |
3.5 |
|
1.8 |
3.9 |
|
3.9 |
3.5 |
|
1.8 |
3.5 |
|
4.9 |
3.9 |
|
0.2 |
3.9 |
|
2.9 |
Net Error |
-3.3 |
|
2.2 |
-4.3 |
|
-3.9 |
-2.9 |
|
-1.8 |
-3.9 |
|
-3.9 |
-3.3 |
|
-1.8 |
-3.5 |
|
-4.9 |
-3.8 |
|
0.2 |
-3.9 |
|
-2.9 |
Std Dev |
2.4 |
|
0.0 |
2.0 |
|
0.0 |
1.9 |
|
0.0 |
1.5 |
|
0.0 |
2.0 |
|
0.0 |
1.1 |
|
0.0 |
1.6 |
|
0.0 |
1.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
Updated: 10-05-24 at 7:00 am |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
10-05-24 |
12 |
|
24 |
24 |
|
10 |
13 |
|
20 |
26 |
|
10 |
15 |
|
20 |
22 |
|
9 |
15 |
|
22 |
18 |
|
11 |
09-05-24 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
22 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
|
20 |
24 |
|
10 |
13 |
|
20 |
26 |
|
9 |
16 |
|
22 |
23 |
|
11 |
08-05-24 |
7 |
21.8 |
24 |
20 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
22 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
|
20 |
24 |
|
9 |
13 |
|
22 |
25 |
|
11 |
07-05-24 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
15 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
21.8 |
20 |
20 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
22 |
13.9 |
9 |
12 |
|
22 |
24 |
|
11 |
06-05-24 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
19 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
20 |
13.9 |
9 |
9 |
21.8 |
22 |
21 |
13.9 |
11 |
05-05-24 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
18 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
9 |
8 |
21.8 |
22 |
19 |
13.9 |
11 |
04-05-24 |
8 |
21.8 |
24 |
19 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
17 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
18 |
13.9 |
9 |
10 |
21.8 |
22 |
18 |
13.9 |
11 |
03-05-24 |
7 |
21.8 |
24 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
21.8 |
20 |
18 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
18 |
13.9 |
9 |
10 |
21.8 |
22 |
17 |
13.9 |
11 |
02-05-24 |
10 |
21.8 |
24 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
17 |
13.9 |
9 |
11 |
21.8 |
22 |
16 |
13.9 |
11 |
01-05-24 |
14 |
21.8 |
24 |
23 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
18 |
13.9 |
9 |
10 |
21.8 |
22 |
18 |
13.9 |
11 |
30-04-24 |
13 |
21.8 |
24 |
24 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
21 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
15 |
13.9 |
9 |
9 |
21.8 |
22 |
17 |
13.9 |
11 |
29-04-24 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
21 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
23 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
19 |
13.9 |
9 |
11 |
21.8 |
22 |
15 |
13.9 |
11 |
28-04-24 |
7 |
21.8 |
24 |
19 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
22 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
21 |
13.9 |
9 |
12 |
21.8 |
22 |
16 |
13.9 |
11 |
27-04-24 |
12 |
21.8 |
24 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
6 |
21.8 |
20 |
19 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
21 |
13.9 |
9 |
12 |
21.8 |
22 |
22 |
13.9 |
11 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
0 |
|
0 |
3 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
12 |
1 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
11 |
1 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
10 |
1 |
|
0 |
% Succ |
|
|
0.0 |
23.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
8.3 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
9.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
10.0 |
|
0.0 |
Ave Error |
11.9 |
|
2.2 |
4.7 |
|
3.9 |
12.2 |
|
1.8 |
4.9 |
|
3.9 |
12.2 |
|
1.8 |
4.7 |
|
4.9 |
11.6 |
|
0.2 |
4.0 |
|
2.9 |
Net Error |
-11.9 |
|
2.2 |
4.7 |
|
-3.9 |
-12.2 |
|
-1.8 |
4.9 |
|
-3.9 |
-12.2 |
|
-1.8 |
4.7 |
|
-4.9 |
-11.6 |
|
0.2 |
4.0 |
|
-2.9 |
Std Dev |
2.2 |
|
0.0 |
3.0 |
|
0.0 |
1.9 |
|
0.0 |
2.5 |
|
0.0 |
1.3 |
|
0.0 |
1.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.8 |
|
0.0 |
1.2 |
|
0.0 |
|
|